1886 General Election

Published on April 26, 2022 at 17:19

1883 Election
1889 Election

The 1886 General Election was the seventh general election to the Ivonian Parliament. The two-term Dominion Party Government, led by James Sadler, sought re-election against the Country Party led by Harvey Harris. The Dominion Party had won a clear majority in the previous election, and it was believed by many that they would therefore be able to easily retain government regardless of any swing in this election. For their part, the Country Party would have needed a swing of 4.2% in order to win back government. The Prime Minister visited the Governor-General on November 15 to request dissolution of Parliament, and the election was set for December 20th.

The campaign was a quiet affair for the Dominion Party, as it was clear that they would be able to hold onto government. The primary focus of the Sadler Governemnt's campaign was a pledge to "keep the course" and continue the party's plan for infrastructure construction and urban investment. This stood in sharp contrast to the Country Party campaign. Harvey Harris carried forward his message railing against the urban elitism of the Dominion Party, and called for the protection of the rural way of life. His uncompromising stance and lack of general charisma did not go over well with voters, and the Whitaker Herald survey clearly showed this. The survey indicated a favorability rating of 65% for the Dominion Party, but only 31% for the Country Party. Weakened by two successive election defeats, the mood was dark in the Country Party heading into the election.

Results

The results were a disaster for the Country Party. They suffered a swing of 3.1% against them nationally, which was enough for the Dominion Party to flip four seats on their way to 19 parliamentary seats. Only two seats in Southshore were left with the Country Party - Harvey Harris' seat of South Country as well as the neighboring seat of South Coast. James Sadler's own margin approached thirty percent, as he won 79% of the vote in his seat of Outer North Bay. With the result not really in doubt, Sadler went to the Governor-General on the night of the election count itself to receive his commission, becoming the first Prime Minister to win re-election twice. He faced Parliament for the first time on January 3, 1887.

The Country Party was left surveying the wreckage after the election. Harvey Harris' re-election in his own seat allowed him to continue to as the parliamentary leader of the party, but there was substantial discontent at the direction he had taken the party under his leadership. The party would need a swing of nearly 7.3% in order to win government, and there were doubts if this could even be done across two elections. Harris remained as the leader of the party, but there were suggestions that differently minded individuals should break away and form their own party free from his influence.

Summary of Results

PartyVotesVotes %SeatsSeats %Votes ΔVotes % ΔSeats ΔSeats % Δ
Dominion1,135,33258.29%1990.48%60,7603.12%419.05%
Country812,47241.71%29.52%-60,650-3.12%-4-19.05%

Seats Changing Hands

SeatWinnerPrevious WinnerSwing RequiredTwo-Party Swing
Port HenryDominionCountry1.51%3.22%
SedgwickDominionCountry0.15%3.38%
Upper CoastDominionCountry2.45%3.23%
Whitaker OuterDominionCountry2.82%3.15%

Target Seats by Party

Target Seats for the Country Party

SeatProvinceCurrent HolderRaw Margin
Whitaker OuterSouthshoreDominion0.66%
Upper CoastWestmorelandDominion1.56%
Port HenryWestmorelandDominion3.43%
SedgwickSouthshoreDominion6.46%
MadisonWestmorelandDominion8.93%
Fort WilliamNew AngliaDominion12.26%
Outer AngliaNew AngliaDominion14.20%
NorthamptonNorth BayDominion14.46%
Westgate CentreWestmorelandDominion14.48%
York CountrySouth YorkshireDominion16.34%
South YorkSouth YorkshireDominion16.59%
Whitaker CentreSouthshoreDominion18.69%
StantonWestmorelandDominion25.78%
Port of WhitakerSouthshoreDominion25.95%
PrincetonSouth YorkshireDominion27.20%
SalemSouth YorkshireDominion29.71%
Port ElizabethNorth BayDominion35.45%
LakevilleWestmorelandDominion36.43%
Outer North BayNorth BayDominion58.25%

Target Seats for the Dominion Party

SeatProvinceCurrent HolderRaw Margin
South CoastSouthshoreCountry4.29%
South CountrySouthshoreCountry5.19%

Seat Details

Results in Fort William, New Anglia

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*38,13856.13%35,94752.91%3.22%
Country29,80543.87%31,99647.09%-3.22%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Fort William, after winning 56.13% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.22%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 12.26%.

Results in Outer Anglia, New Anglia

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*50,75157.10%48,15054.18%2.93%
Country38,12842.90%40,72845.82%-2.93%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Outer Anglia, after winning 57.10% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 2.93%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 14.20%.

Results in Northampton, North Bay

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*67,33557.23%63,25053.76%3.47%
Country50,31742.77%54,40446.24%-3.47%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Northampton, after winning 57.23% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.47%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 14.46%.

Results in Outer North Bay, North Bay

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*69,48379.12%67,20476.61%2.52%
Country18,33220.88%20,52223.39%-2.52%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Outer North Bay, after winning 79.12% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 2.52%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 58.25%.

Results in Port Elizabeth, North Bay

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*59,49367.73%56,97164.85%2.87%
Country28,35032.27%30,87635.15%-2.87%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Port Elizabeth, after winning 67.73% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 2.87%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 35.45%.

Results in Princeton, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*78,43763.60%74,68860.56%3.04%
Country44,88836.40%48,63239.44%-3.04%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Princeton, after winning 63.60% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.04%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 27.20%.

Results in Salem, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*47,03364.86%44,91261.93%2.92%
Country25,48535.14%27,60438.07%-2.92%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Salem, after winning 64.86% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 2.92%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 29.71%.

Results in South York, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*49,57458.29%46,86055.10%3.19%
Country35,46741.71%38,17944.90%-3.19%

The Dominion Party won the seat of South York, after winning 58.29% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.19%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 16.59%.

Results in York Country, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*65,90158.17%62,44755.12%3.05%
Country47,38841.83%50,84344.88%-3.05%

The Dominion Party won the seat of York Country, after winning 58.17% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.05%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 16.34%.

Results in Port of Whitaker, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*65,45462.97%62,29959.94%3.04%
Country38,48537.03%41,64040.06%-3.04%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Port of Whitaker, after winning 62.97% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.04%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 25.95%.

Results in Sedgwick, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion51,32253.23%48,06049.85%3.38%
Country*45,09446.77%48,35450.15%-3.38%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Sedgwick, after winning 53.23% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Country Party after a two-party swing of 3.38%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 0.15%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 6.46%.

Results in South Coast, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Country*44,67252.15%47,12655.01%-2.87%
Dominion40,99447.85%38,53744.99%2.87%

The Country Party won the seat of South Coast, after winning 52.15% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 2.87%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 4.29%.

Results in South Country, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Country*53,17852.59%56,57855.96%-3.36%
Dominion47,93247.41%44,53444.04%3.36%

The Country Party won the seat of South Country, after winning 52.59% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 3.36%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 5.19%.

Results in Whitaker Centre, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*64,00659.34%60,65756.24%3.11%
Country43,85240.66%47,20343.76%-3.11%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Whitaker Centre, after winning 59.34% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.11%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 18.69%.

Results in Whitaker Outer, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion42,02550.33%39,39647.18%3.15%
Country*41,47349.67%44,09852.82%-3.15%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Whitaker Outer, after winning 50.33% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Country Party after a two-party swing of 3.15%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 2.82%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 0.66%.

Results in Lakeville, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*47,17268.22%44,86764.88%3.33%
Country21,97831.78%24,28435.12%-3.33%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Lakeville, after winning 68.22% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.33%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 36.43%.

Results in Madison, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*32,54454.46%30,79151.53%2.93%
Country27,21045.54%28,96148.47%-2.93%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Madison, after winning 54.46% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 2.93%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 8.93%.

Results in Port Henry, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion57,96651.72%54,35248.49%3.22%
Country*54,12048.28%57,73051.51%-3.22%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Port Henry, after winning 51.72% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Country Party after a two-party swing of 3.22%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 1.51%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 3.43%.

Results in Stanton, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*43,67262.89%41,42059.66%3.23%
Country25,76937.11%28,01040.34%-3.23%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Stanton, after winning 62.89% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.23%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 25.78%.

Results in Upper Coast, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion52,87650.78%49,51447.55%3.23%
Country*51,24849.22%54,61452.45%-3.23%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Upper Coast, after winning 50.78% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Country Party after a two-party swing of 3.23%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 2.45%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 1.56%.

Results in Westgate Centre, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*63,22457.24%59,71654.06%3.18%
Country47,23342.76%50,74045.94%-3.18%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Westgate Centre, after winning 57.24% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.18%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 14.48%.