1892 General Election

Published on May 07, 2022 at 17:35

1889 Election
1895 Election

The 1892 General Election was the ninth general election to the Ivonian Parliament. The four-term Dominion Party Government, led by James Sadler, faced off against the Conservative Party, under Seward Spalding. The previous election had been a close fight between the Conservative Party and Country Party for the prime position among the opposition parties, with the Conservative Party triumphing by a clear margin. The Country Party contested the 1892 election in full, but it was generally apparent that the party was a spent force, with the dynamic Spalding a much more prominent figure.

A census had been conducted in 1890, which revealed that the Ivonian electorate had exceeded 2.4 million voters. The subsequent reapportionment of the Ivonian Parliament would have led to Westmoreland losing a seat to South Yorkshire, due to slower than average growth in the former. A desire to not reduce the parliamentary representation of any province led to the expansion of Parliament to 25 seats, up from the previous size of 21.

The 1889 election had been a quiet affair for the Dominion Party, with a majority beyond doubt during the campaign. This was not to be the case for the 1892 election, as the Conservative Party only needed a 3.7% swing in order to win government on the old boundaries. Even as the seat redistribution had altered constituency boundaries, the notional margins indicated that the Dominion Party would have secured 18 seats on the new boundaries, to the Conservative Party's 7. With a new majority-defining threshold of 13, this meant that the Dominion Party went into the 1892 election with a notional six seat majority, compared with the five seat majority it had won in 1889.

James Sadler, already Ivonia's longest serving Prime Minister, indicated that he would continue for another campaign in early 1892. The Dominion Party campaigned on an expansion of industry and a broader electric power grid. The Conservative Party called for a change of government after twelve years of Dominion rule. They promised a new, dynamic cabinet, which would strengthen Ivonia's economy through investment in infrastructure coupled with protective tariffs. The Country Party, no longer a competitive force in Ivonian politics, campaigned heavily along the Southshore coastal seats it had lost in 1889 on local issues.

Sadler went to the Governor-General on November 14, 1892, and the election was set for December 19, 1892. The Whitaker Herald pre-election survey found the favorabilities for the parties as 38% in favor of the Country Party, 76% in favor of the Conservative Party and 72% in favor of the Dominion Party.

Results

The Dominion Party remained the largest party in Parliament, and gained two of the four newly created seats. However, with the expansion in the number of seats, the party saw its seat share decline slightly, although it still retained well over two-thirds of the chamber. The Conservative Party gained the other two newly created seats, but lost the Westmoreland seat of South Coast to the Country Party.

All three parties were encouraged by the results. The Country Party regained parliamentary representation with its victory in South Coast, and came within two percent of victory in neighboring South Country. The Conservative Party was now in striking distance of majority government, with several Dominion-held seats sitting on small margins under four percent. The Dominion Party, for its part, remained the largest party after twelve years in power and could afford a loss of five seats before losing government.

James Sadler went to the Governor-General on December 21st and received his commission, for a fifth term.

Summary of Results

Party	Votes	Votes %	Seats	Seats %	Votes Δ	Votes % Δ	Seats Δ	Seats % Δ
Dominion	1,022,143	42.43%	17	68.00%	185,914	-0.56%	2	-3.43%
Conservative	915,096	37.99%	7	28.00%	229,208	2.73%	1	-0.57%
Country	471,836	19.59%	1	4.00%	48,632	-2.17%	1	4.00%

Seats Changing Hands

Seat	Winner	Previous Winner	Swing Required	Two-Party Swing
Bloomington	Dominion	New Seat
Enfield	Dominion	New Seat
Irvington	Dominion	New Seat
Northampton	Conservative	Dominion	1.75%	5.57%
Northampton River	Dominion	New Seat
Sedgwick Country	Conservative	New Seat
South Coast	Country	Conservative	5.83%	6.10%

Target Seats by Party

Target Seats for the Conservative Party

Seat	Province	Current Holder	Raw Margin
Madison	Westmoreland	Dominion	0.37%
South Coast	Southshore	Country	0.54%
Bloomington	South Yorkshire	Dominion	0.74%
Fort William	New Anglia	Dominion	0.93%
Westgate Centre	Westmoreland	Dominion	2.10%
Outer Anglia	New Anglia	Dominion	3.13%
South York	South Yorkshire	Dominion	3.74%
Enfield	South Yorkshire	Dominion	5.21%
Irvington	South Yorkshire	Dominion	6.42%
Whitaker Centre	Southshore	Dominion	6.72%
Stanton	Westmoreland	Dominion	8.47%
Port of Whitaker	Southshore	Dominion	9.97%
Northampton River	North Bay	Dominion	11.29%
Princeton	South Yorkshire	Dominion	13.13%
Salem	South Yorkshire	Dominion	14.60%
Lakeville	Westmoreland	Dominion	14.80%
Port Elizabeth	North Bay	Dominion	16.71%
Outer North Bay	North Bay	Dominion	37.70%

Target Seats for the Country Party

Seat	Province	Current Holder	Raw Margin
South Country	Southshore	Conservative	1.85%
Sedgwick Country	Southshore	Conservative	19.01%
Madison	Westmoreland	Dominion	19.70%
Upper Coast	Westmoreland	Conservative	20.34%
Whitaker Outer	Southshore	Conservative	20.61%
Port Henry	Westmoreland	Conservative	20.63%
Bloomington	South Yorkshire	Dominion	20.72%
Northampton	North Bay	Conservative	20.96%
Fort William	New Anglia	Dominion	21.18%
Westgate Centre	Westmoreland	Dominion	22.18%
Outer Anglia	New Anglia	Dominion	22.62%
Sedgwick	Southshore	Conservative	23.32%
South York	South Yorkshire	Dominion	23.56%
Enfield	South Yorkshire	Dominion	24.65%
Irvington	South Yorkshire	Dominion	26.28%
Whitaker Centre	Southshore	Dominion	26.64%
Stanton	Westmoreland	Dominion	29.08%
Port of Whitaker	Southshore	Dominion	29.84%
Northampton River	North Bay	Dominion	31.83%
Princeton	South Yorkshire	Dominion	33.56%
Salem	South Yorkshire	Dominion	33.65%
Lakeville	Westmoreland	Dominion	35.79%
Port Elizabeth	North Bay	Dominion	36.05%
Outer North Bay	North Bay	Dominion	55.33%

Target Seats for the Dominion Party

Seat	Province	Current Holder	Raw Margin
South Coast	Southshore	Country	1.95%
South Country	Southshore	Conservative	3.83%
Sedgwick Country	Southshore	Conservative	4.49%
Port Henry	Westmoreland	Conservative	5.89%
Upper Coast	Westmoreland	Conservative	6.83%
Northampton	North Bay	Conservative	7.64%
Whitaker Outer	Southshore	Conservative	7.94%
Sedgwick	Southshore	Conservative	13.41%

Seat Details

Results in Fort William, New Anglia

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	33,597	40.70%	27,682	40.76%	-0.06%
Conservative	32,826	39.77%	24,702	36.37%	3.40%
Country	16,118	19.53%	15,528	22.86%	-3.34%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Fort William, after winning 40.70% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.06%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 0.93%.

Results in Outer Anglia, New Anglia

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	44,105	41.91%	37,995	42.78%	-0.87%
Conservative	40,813	38.79%	30,987	34.89%	3.90%
Country	20,308	19.30%	19,829	22.33%	-3.03%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Outer Anglia, after winning 41.91% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.87%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 3.13%.

Results in Northampton, North Bay

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Conservative	31,513	42.87%	43,620	37.09%	5.77%
Dominion*	25,900	35.23%	47,743	40.60%	-5.37%
Country	16,101	21.90%	26,227	22.30%	-0.40%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Northampton, after winning 42.87% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 5.57%, and a relative two-party swing of 7.14%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 1.75%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 7.64%.

Results in Northampton River, North Bay

Party	Votes	Percent
Dominion	48,248	47.71%
Conservative	36,830	36.42%
Country	16,055	15.88%

The Dominion Party won the new seat of Northampton River, after winning 47.71% of the vote. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 11.29%.

Results in Outer North Bay, North Bay

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	57,735	64.34%	56,719	64.76%	-0.41%
Conservative	23,907	26.64%	21,198	24.20%	2.44%
Country	8,087	9.01%	9,670	11.04%	-2.03%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Outer North Bay, after winning 64.34% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.41%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 37.70%.

Results in Port Elizabeth, North Bay

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	57,541	50.92%	46,161	52.59%	-1.66%
Conservative	38,655	34.21%	26,778	30.50%	3.70%
Country	16,801	14.87%	14,844	16.91%	-2.04%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Port Elizabeth, after winning 50.92% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 1.66%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 16.71%.

Results in Bloomington, South Yorkshire

Party	Votes	Percent
Dominion	30,757	40.49%
Conservative	30,195	39.75%
Country	15,019	19.77%

The Dominion Party won the new seat of Bloomington, after winning 40.49% of the vote. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 0.74%.

Results in Enfield, South Yorkshire

Party	Votes	Percent
Dominion	34,546	43.29%
Conservative	30,391	38.08%
Country	14,870	18.63%

The Dominion Party won the new seat of Enfield, after winning 43.29% of the vote. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 5.21%.

Results in Irvington, South Yorkshire

Party	Votes	Percent
Dominion	36,495	44.23%
Conservative	31,199	37.82%
Country	14,810	17.95%

The Dominion Party won the new seat of Irvington, after winning 44.23% of the vote. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 6.42%.

Results in Princeton, South Yorkshire

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	44,953	48.90%	59,390	48.19%	0.71%
Conservative	32,879	35.76%	40,430	32.80%	2.96%
Country	14,101	15.34%	23,424	19.01%	-3.67%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Princeton, after winning 48.90% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 0.71%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 13.13%.

Results in Salem, South Yorkshire

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	48,529	49.42%	36,219	49.97%	-0.55%
Conservative	34,190	34.81%	22,918	31.62%	3.20%
Country	15,486	15.77%	13,347	18.41%	-2.64%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Salem, after winning 49.42% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.55%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 14.60%.

Results in South York, South Yorkshire

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	49,504	42.43%	36,385	42.80%	-0.37%
Conservative	45,145	38.69%	30,117	35.43%	3.27%
Country	22,020	18.87%	18,504	21.77%	-2.89%

The Dominion Party won the seat of South York, after winning 42.43% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.37%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 3.74%.

Results in Port of Whitaker, Southshore

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	58,950	46.60%	49,289	47.45%	-0.85%
Conservative	46,342	36.64%	34,504	33.22%	3.42%
Country	21,202	16.76%	20,081	19.33%	-2.57%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Port of Whitaker, after winning 46.60% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.85%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 9.97%.

Results in Sedgwick, Southshore

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Conservative*	23,119	45.58%	36,821	38.23%	7.35%
Dominion	16,319	32.17%	36,028	37.40%	-5.23%
Country	11,289	22.25%	23,474	24.37%	-2.12%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Sedgwick, after winning 45.58% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 7.35%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 13.41%.

Results in Sedgwick Country, Southshore

Party	Votes	Percent
Conservative	36,738	41.17%
Dominion	32,732	36.68%
Country	19,770	22.15%

The Conservative Party won the new seat of Sedgwick Country, after winning 41.17% of the vote. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 4.49%.

Results in South Coast, Southshore

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Country	35,405	34.16%	23,101	27.32%	6.84%
Conservative*	34,850	33.63%	32,958	38.98%	-5.35%
Dominion	33,385	32.21%	28,491	33.70%	-1.48%

The Country Party won the seat of South Coast, after winning 34.16% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Conservative Party after a swing of 6.10%, and a relative two-party swing of 9.19%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 5.83%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 0.54%.

Results in South Country, Southshore

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Conservative*	33,520	35.23%	40,997	40.58%	-5.36%
Country	31,756	33.37%	27,636	27.36%	6.02%
Dominion	29,879	31.40%	32,388	32.06%	-0.66%

The Conservative Party won the seat of South Country, after winning 35.23% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 5.36%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 1.85%.

Results in Whitaker Centre, Southshore

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	58,176	44.45%	47,672	44.22%	0.23%
Conservative	49,376	37.73%	37,306	34.61%	3.12%
Country	23,314	17.82%	22,823	21.17%	-3.36%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Whitaker Centre, after winning 44.45% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 0.23%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 6.72%.

Results in Whitaker Outer, Southshore

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Conservative*	41,660	42.85%	32,289	38.69%	4.16%
Dominion	33,945	34.91%	29,652	35.53%	-0.61%
Country	21,620	22.24%	21,519	25.78%	-3.55%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Whitaker Outer, after winning 42.85% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 4.16%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 7.94%.

Results in Lakeville, Westmoreland

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	40,512	50.20%	35,083	50.76%	-0.56%
Conservative	28,568	35.40%	22,491	32.54%	2.86%
Country	11,628	14.41%	11,546	16.70%	-2.30%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Lakeville, after winning 50.20% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.56%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 14.80%.

Results in Madison, Westmoreland

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	27,599	40.02%	24,112	40.38%	-0.35%
Conservative	27,346	39.66%	21,433	35.89%	3.77%
Country	14,012	20.32%	14,173	23.73%	-3.41%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Madison, after winning 40.02% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.35%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 0.37%.

Results in Port Henry, Westmoreland

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Conservative*	54,314	42.17%	43,094	38.48%	3.69%
Dominion	46,728	36.28%	40,754	36.39%	-0.11%
Country	27,742	21.54%	28,136	25.13%	-3.58%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Port Henry, after winning 42.17% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.69%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 5.89%.

Results in Stanton, Westmoreland

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	36,648	45.85%	32,151	46.33%	-0.47%
Conservative	29,880	37.38%	23,782	34.27%	3.12%
Country	13,402	16.77%	13,470	19.41%	-2.64%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Stanton, after winning 45.85% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.47%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 8.47%.

Results in Upper Coast, Westmoreland

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Conservative*	50,656	42.39%	40,114	38.57%	3.82%
Dominion	42,490	35.56%	37,309	35.87%	-0.31%
Country	26,352	22.05%	26,586	25.56%	-3.51%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Upper Coast, after winning 42.39% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 3.82%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 6.83%.

Results in Westgate Centre, Westmoreland

Party	Votes	Percent	Previous Votes	Previous Percent	Percent Change
Dominion*	52,870	41.43%	46,097	41.75%	-0.32%
Conservative	50,184	39.32%	39,716	35.97%	3.35%
Country	24,568	19.25%	24,609	22.29%	-3.04%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Westgate Centre, after winning 41.43% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 0.32%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 2.10%.