1898 General Election

Published on May 15, 2022 at 22:46

1895 Election
1901 Election

The 1898 General Election was the eleventh general election to the Ivonian Parliament. The six-term Dominion Party Government led by Ramsey Hawkins faced off against the Conservative Party, under Seward Spalding. The previous election had seen the Dominion Party retain a majority narrowly, despite suffering the loss of four seats. Defending a majority that was built upon a few hundred vote margin in the narrowest marginal seat, it was expected by many that the Dominion Party government that had ruled Ivonia for 18 years had run its course.

This was complicated by the events of June 11, 1896. On that day, a meeting of miners in regional South Yorkshire who were attending the local socialist club gathering was broken up by police. During the police intervention, fighting broke out which quickly turned deadly. After calling upon reinforcements from the Ivonian military and regional guardsmen, the violence was put down but not before the death of dozens of miners and eight policemen. In the aftermath, the Socialist Party of Ivonia was created, drawing upon support from miners and workers unions from across the nation. Substantially further to the left than the Dominion Party, the new party's creation threatened to siphon off votes on the left in a manner similar to the Country Party's existence on the right.

Altogether, it was seen as an inevitability that the Dominion Party government would fall, and senior members of the cabinet announced their retirement heading into the election. The conservative opposition campaigned on law and order, promising to put down the violent gangs that many conservative voters viewed the socialists as. While the Conservative and Country parties competed in every seat, it was generally agreed that the two parties would form a coalition in the event that it became necessary for a conservative majority.

The Dominion Party began the campaign worried about the threat of the Socialist Party, but generally confident that their near two decades in government would incentivize voters to stick with the "party of government", as they put it. It was only late in the campaign that they realized the immense danger that the party was in, as party-conducted surveys of voters across the nation indicated an imminent widespread change in left-of-center voter allegiances. The party threw substantial resources at protecting incumbents in safe seats in order to maintain some parliamentary representation.

Hawkins went to the Governor-General on November 14, 1898, and the election was set for December 12, 1898. The Whitaker Herald pre-election survey found the favorabilities for the parties as 37% in favor of the Country Party, 63% in favor of the Conservative Party, 53% in favor of the Dominion Party and 58% in favor of the Socialist Party. It was clear that all of the established political parties had taken a hit in favorability, in light of changing political winds.

Results

In the end, the results were both expected and a surprise. The Conservative Party easily won a majority after securing 19 of the 25 parliamentary seats. The Dominion Party saw nearly twenty years of government come to catastrophic end, losing all but the Prime Minister's own seat of Lakeville. In Lakeville, Prime Minister Hawkins held on by the narrowest of margins - he prevailed over the Conservative candidate by a mere 75 votes. The newly-founded Socialist Party, created in the aftermath of the Dominion government's heavy-handed response to socialist meetings, wreaked havoc on the Dominion Party's vote share, pushing incumbent MPs into last place in several constituencies. The Country Party, despite the change in government, was able to easily hold their existing South Coast seat, and add to their tally by finally taking South Country.

All in all, the results led to much rejoicing on the political right, for both parties. Across the left, however, recriminations began as soon as the first results came in. Ramsey Hawkins, the only MP left for the Dominion Party, took personal responsibility for the defeat. He remained as the party leader, as he was the only MP still in Parliament. There was much debate as to which party had played the role of spoiler - the Socialist Party had won more seats and a higher share of the vote, but was undoubtedly the newcomer to the political scene.

The Dominion Party government, dominant for so long, was now at an end. Seward Spalding, the Conservative leader, went to the Governor-General on December 14, 1898, and received his commission. He formed the first right-wing government in eighteen years, and faced parliament soon thereafter. With 21 seats going to the right, Spalding would have enormous room to manouver in the coming years.

Summary of Results

PartyVotesVotes %SeatsSeats %Votes ΔVotes % ΔSeats ΔSeats % Δ
Conservative794,50333.00%1976.00%-102,903-4.26%832.00%
Socialist563,68223.41%312.00%563,68223.41%312.00%
Country575,90223.92%28.00%-8,839-0.36%14.00%
Dominion473,69719.67%14.00%-453,061-18.80%-12-48.00%

Seats Changing Hands

SeatWinnerPrevious WinnerSwing RequiredTwo-Party Swing
EnfieldConservativeDominion1.13%8.68%
IrvingtonConservativeDominion1.59%8.70%
Northampton RiverConservativeDominion3.55%8.76%
Outer AngliaConservativeDominion0.17%7.85%
Outer North BaySocialistDominion30.01%32.86%
Port ElizabethSocialistDominion23.36%27.93%
Port of WhitakerConservativeDominion3.13%8.90%
PrincetonConservativeDominion4.46%9.74%
SalemSocialistDominion22.64%28.76%
South CountryCountryConservative0.11%2.93%
South YorkConservativeDominion0.34%8.14%
StantonConservativeDominion2.35%8.31%
Whitaker CentreConservativeDominion1.80%8.38%

Target Seats by Party

Target Seats for the Conservative Party

SeatProvinceCurrent HolderRaw Margin
LakevilleWestmorelandDominion0.09%
Port ElizabethNorth BaySocialist1.11%
SalemSouth YorkshireSocialist1.90%
South CountrySouthshoreCountry5.64%
South CoastSouthshoreCountry8.54%
Outer North BayNorth BaySocialist19.31%

Target Seats for the Country Party

SeatProvinceCurrent HolderRaw Margin
Sedgwick CountrySouthshoreConservative8.23%
MadisonWestmorelandConservative9.36%
Westgate CentreWestmorelandConservative9.69%
Outer AngliaNew AngliaConservative9.79%
EnfieldSouth YorkshireConservative9.81%
Upper CoastWestmorelandConservative10.00%
BloomingtonSouth YorkshireConservative10.19%
South YorkSouth YorkshireConservative10.32%
Whitaker OuterSouthshoreConservative10.33%
IrvingtonSouth YorkshireConservative10.54%
Port HenryWestmorelandConservative10.56%
Fort WilliamNew AngliaConservative10.67%
Whitaker CentreSouthshoreConservative10.70%
NorthamptonNorth BayConservative10.87%
Port of WhitakerSouthshoreConservative11.11%
LakevilleWestmorelandDominion11.77%
SalemSouth YorkshireSocialist12.01%
Port ElizabethNorth BaySocialist12.05%
PrincetonSouth YorkshireConservative12.08%
StantonWestmorelandConservative12.09%
Northampton RiverNorth BayConservative12.30%
SedgwickSouthshoreConservative13.85%
Outer North BayNorth BaySocialist27.96%

Target Seats for the Dominion Party

SeatProvinceCurrent HolderRaw Margin
Outer North BayNorth BaySocialist5.70%
Port ElizabethNorth BaySocialist9.14%
Westgate CentreWestmorelandConservative10.37%
Northampton RiverNorth BayConservative10.41%
PrincetonSouth YorkshireConservative10.55%
Port of WhitakerSouthshoreConservative11.54%
StantonWestmorelandConservative11.93%
SalemSouth YorkshireSocialist12.25%
Whitaker CentreSouthshoreConservative13.16%
IrvingtonSouth YorkshireConservative14.22%
EnfieldSouth YorkshireConservative15.10%
Outer AngliaNew AngliaConservative15.37%
South YorkSouth YorkshireConservative15.59%
Fort WilliamNew AngliaConservative16.10%
MadisonWestmorelandConservative16.75%
BloomingtonSouth YorkshireConservative16.93%
Port HenryWestmorelandConservative19.61%
Sedgwick CountrySouthshoreConservative19.65%
Upper CoastWestmorelandConservative20.30%
NorthamptonNorth BayConservative20.33%
Whitaker OuterSouthshoreConservative20.52%
South CountrySouthshoreCountry20.91%
SedgwickSouthshoreConservative22.23%
South CoastSouthshoreCountry23.58%

Target Seats for the Socialist Party

SeatProvinceCurrent HolderRaw Margin
PrincetonSouth YorkshireConservative1.88%
LakevilleWestmorelandDominion3.29%
Port of WhitakerSouthshoreConservative5.46%
Northampton RiverNorth BayConservative5.57%
IrvingtonSouth YorkshireConservative6.30%
EnfieldSouth YorkshireConservative6.68%
Whitaker CentreSouthshoreConservative7.92%
StantonWestmorelandConservative8.16%
South YorkSouth YorkshireConservative8.77%
Outer AngliaNew AngliaConservative10.23%
BloomingtonSouth YorkshireConservative11.33%
Westgate CentreWestmorelandConservative11.78%
MadisonWestmorelandConservative12.22%
Fort WilliamNew AngliaConservative13.32%
Sedgwick CountrySouthshoreConservative15.28%
Port HenryWestmorelandConservative19.68%
Upper CoastWestmorelandConservative19.81%
South CoastSouthshoreCountry20.53%
Whitaker OuterSouthshoreConservative20.99%
NorthamptonNorth BayConservative21.43%
South CountrySouthshoreCountry22.87%
SedgwickSouthshoreConservative30.42%

Seat Details

Results in Fort William, New Anglia

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*28,89835.02%31,88338.63%-3.61%
Country20,09524.35%20,36724.68%-0.32%
Socialist17,90621.70%00.00%21.70%
Dominion15,61018.92%30,28036.69%-17.77%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Fort William, after winning 35.02% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 3.61%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 10.67%.

Results in Outer Anglia, New Anglia

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative35,59533.85%39,62437.65%-3.81%
Country25,30424.06%25,62724.35%-0.29%
Socialist24,83923.62%00.00%23.62%
Dominion*19,43218.48%39,97937.99%-19.52%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Outer Anglia, after winning 33.85% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 7.85%, and a relative two-party swing of 14.91%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 0.17%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 9.79%.

Results in Northampton, North Bay

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*28,04538.16%30,20941.09%-2.93%
Country20,05427.28%20,24027.53%-0.25%
Dominion13,10517.83%23,06831.38%-13.55%
Socialist12,29516.73%00.00%16.73%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Northampton, after winning 38.16% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 2.93%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 10.87%.

Results in Northampton River, North Bay

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative32,38732.07%36,66936.26%-4.19%
Socialist26,76226.50%00.00%26.50%
Dominion*21,87421.66%43,85943.37%-21.71%
Country19,96619.77%20,60320.37%-0.60%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Northampton River, after winning 32.07% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 8.76%, and a relative two-party swing of 14.15%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 3.55%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 5.57%.

Results in Outer North Bay, North Bay

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Socialist34,28738.24%00.00%38.24%
Dominion*29,17832.54%53,84960.02%-27.47%
Conservative16,97518.93%25,12228.00%-9.07%
Country9,22010.28%10,75111.98%-1.70%

The Socialist Party won the seat of Outer North Bay, after winning 38.24% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 32.86%, and a relative two-party swing of 54.03%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 30.01%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 5.70%.

Results in Port Elizabeth, North Bay

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Socialist34,53530.58%00.00%30.58%
Conservative33,27829.46%38,63934.20%-4.73%
Dominion*24,20921.43%52,78746.72%-25.29%
Country20,92118.52%21,55619.08%-0.56%

The Socialist Party won the seat of Port Elizabeth, after winning 30.58% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 27.93%, and a relative two-party swing of 58.79%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 23.36%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 1.11%.

Results in Bloomington, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*26,28634.61%29,23938.49%-3.88%
Country18,54824.42%18,94924.94%-0.52%
Socialist17,68223.28%00.00%23.28%
Dominion13,42617.68%27,78036.57%-18.89%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Bloomington, after winning 34.61% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 3.88%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 10.19%.

Results in Enfield, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative26,24632.90%29,60437.09%-4.19%
Socialist20,91926.22%00.00%26.22%
Country18,42223.09%18,80623.56%-0.47%
Dominion*14,19517.79%31,40439.35%-21.55%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Enfield, after winning 32.90% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 8.68%, and a relative two-party swing of 16.37%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 1.13%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 6.68%.

Results in Irvington, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative27,02332.77%30,56337.05%-4.29%
Socialist21,82526.46%00.00%26.46%
Country18,33122.23%18,73622.71%-0.49%
Dominion*15,29318.54%33,18940.23%-21.69%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Irvington, after winning 32.77% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 8.70%, and a relative two-party swing of 15.92%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 1.59%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 6.30%.

Results in Princeton, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative28,57831.13%32,80535.68%-4.56%
Socialist26,85029.24%00.00%29.24%
Dominion*18,89620.58%41,01044.61%-24.03%
Country17,48919.05%18,12119.71%-0.66%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Princeton, after winning 31.13% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 9.74%, and a relative two-party swing of 15.75%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 4.46%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 1.88%.

Results in Salem, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Socialist30,96631.54%00.00%31.54%
Conservative29,10429.64%33,96034.58%-4.94%
Country19,17319.53%19,77720.14%-0.61%
Dominion*18,94119.29%44,46845.28%-25.99%

The Socialist Party won the seat of Salem, after winning 31.54% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 28.76%, and a relative two-party swing of 62.05%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 22.64%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 1.90%.

Results in South York, South Yorkshire

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative39,27233.67%44,02837.74%-4.07%
Socialist29,04724.90%00.00%24.90%
Country27,23323.35%27,80723.83%-0.49%
Dominion*21,08918.08%44,83338.43%-20.35%

The Conservative Party won the seat of South York, after winning 33.67% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 8.14%, and a relative two-party swing of 15.51%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 0.34%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 8.77%.

Results in Port of Whitaker, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative40,49832.03%45,76536.19%-4.16%
Socialist33,59426.57%00.00%26.57%
Country26,44720.92%27,03021.37%-0.46%
Dominion*25,90220.49%53,67042.44%-21.95%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Port of Whitaker, after winning 32.03% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 8.90%, and a relative two-party swing of 14.97%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 3.13%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 5.46%.

Results in Sedgwick, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*21,10641.63%22,23443.83%-2.21%
Country14,08227.77%14,24328.08%-0.31%
Dominion9,83419.39%14,24728.09%-8.69%
Socialist5,68211.21%00.00%11.21%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Sedgwick, after winning 41.63% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 2.21%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 13.85%.

Results in Sedgwick Country, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*31,91335.79%34,97539.19%-3.40%
Country24,57527.56%24,74227.72%-0.16%
Socialist18,29120.51%00.00%20.51%
Dominion14,39116.14%29,53533.09%-16.95%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Sedgwick Country, after winning 35.79% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 3.40%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 8.23%.

Results in South Coast, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Country*39,51838.16%37,84036.51%1.65%
Conservative30,67329.62%35,59134.34%-4.72%
Socialist18,26317.64%00.00%17.64%
Dominion15,10014.58%30,21429.15%-14.57%

The Country Party won the seat of South Coast, after winning 38.16% of the vote. They held the seat and saw their share of the vote increase by 1.65%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 8.54%.

Results in South Country, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Country35,52437.35%34,07835.81%1.54%
Conservative*30,16431.72%34,29636.04%-4.33%
Dominion15,64216.45%26,77728.14%-11.69%
Socialist13,77114.48%00.00%14.48%

The Country Party won the seat of South Country, after winning 37.35% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Conservative Party after a swing of 2.93%, and a relative two-party swing of 4.24%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 0.11%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 5.64%.

Results in Whitaker Centre, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative43,06732.94%48,22936.89%-3.94%
Socialist32,71125.02%00.00%25.02%
Country29,08522.25%29,58122.62%-0.37%
Dominion*25,86219.78%52,94240.49%-20.71%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Whitaker Centre, after winning 32.94% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 8.38%, and a relative two-party swing of 14.81%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 1.80%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 7.92%.

Results in Whitaker Outer, Southshore

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*36,90137.96%39,82440.96%-3.00%
Country26,85727.63%27,13627.91%-0.28%
Dominion16,95117.44%30,26831.13%-13.69%
Socialist16,49816.97%00.00%16.97%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Whitaker Outer, after winning 37.96% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 3.00%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 10.33%.

Results in Lakeville, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Dominion*23,23128.79%36,90145.72%-16.93%
Conservative23,15628.69%28,77935.66%-6.96%
Socialist20,57625.50%00.00%25.50%
Country13,73617.02%15,02918.62%-1.60%

The Dominion Party won the seat of Lakeville, after winning 28.79% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 16.93%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 0.09%.

Results in Madison, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*23,83734.58%26,37638.26%-3.68%
Country17,38825.23%17,59925.53%-0.30%
Socialist15,41622.37%00.00%22.37%
Dominion12,28817.83%24,96836.22%-18.39%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Madison, after winning 34.58% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 3.68%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 9.36%.

Results in Port Henry, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*48,22537.46%52,19340.53%-3.07%
Country34,63226.90%34,90327.10%-0.20%
Dominion22,98617.86%41,69132.37%-14.52%
Socialist22,89017.78%00.00%17.78%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Port Henry, after winning 37.46% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 3.07%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 10.56%.

Results in Stanton, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative26,40433.04%29,54036.96%-3.91%
Socialist19,88624.89%00.00%24.89%
Dominion*16,87021.11%33,29541.66%-20.54%
Country16,74520.96%17,09121.38%-0.43%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Stanton, after winning 33.04% of the vote. They gained the seat from the Dominion Party after a swing of 8.31%, and a relative two-party swing of 14.00%. This was enough to exceed the required two-party swing of 2.35%; the seat now sits on a raw margin of 8.16%.

Results in Upper Coast, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*44,81637.53%48,48240.57%-3.04%
Country32,86927.52%33,13227.72%-0.20%
Socialist21,16217.72%00.00%17.72%
Dominion20,56917.22%37,89031.71%-14.48%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Upper Coast, after winning 37.53% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 3.04%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 10.00%.

Results in Westgate Centre, Westmoreland

PartyVotesPercentPrevious VotesPrevious PercentPercent Change
Conservative*42,05632.96%48,77738.22%-5.26%
Country29,68823.27%30,99724.29%-1.02%
Dominion28,82322.59%47,85437.49%-14.91%
Socialist27,02921.18%00.00%21.18%

The Conservative Party won the seat of Westgate Centre, after winning 32.96% of the vote. They held the seat despite a fall in their share of the vote by 5.26%. The seat now sits on a raw margin of 9.69%.